Adult Social Care Review – Wales report

The Office for Statistics Regulation is exploring the quality and public value of adult social care statistics in the United Kingdom. This report presents the findings for Wales.

Adult social care can affect and improve the lives of many people. Society has changed greatly over the last few decades, so it is important to understand more about how social care is currently delivered and how this might need to change in the future. This report explores the current situation in relation to adult social care statistics in Wales, and examines the extent to which the statistics are meeting users’ needs. It identifies steps Welsh Government should take to address users’ concerns and drive up both the quality and value of the statistics.

We will maintain contact with Welsh Government as they work to resolve the issues affecting these statistics. We will also engage further with users of the statistics to ensure that planned improvements meet their needs.

We will publish reports detailing the findings for England and Scotland in Autumn 2019.

 

Related Links:

Systemic Review Outline: Adult Social Care

Statistics from the Welsh Housing Conditions Survey

An assessment of the trustworthiness, quality and public value of statistics from the Welsh Housing Conditions Survey, produced by the Welsh Government.


Judgement on National Statistics status

We judge that the statistics from the Welsh Housing Conditions Survey (WHCS) can be designated as new National Statistics once the Welsh Government demonstrates to us that it has enhanced these statistics in the ways described in chapters one to three of this report. This report includes four Requirements.

The WHCS is the first national housing conditions survey in Wales since the 2008 Living in Wales survey. The Welsh Government will publish the Welsh Housing Conditions Survey 2017-18: Headline report (Headline report) in November 2018 followed by more detailed topic reports and analysis from early 2019. Together, these statistical outputs are expected to provide a detailed picture of housing conditions in Wales.


Key findings

Housing conditions is an important policy area, within the UK and internationally, with the quality of housing affecting health and the wider well-being of the population. The Welsh Government has a number of legislative obligations and strategic commitments that require evidence on housing conditions, including the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015 and The Fuel Poverty Strategy (2010). As such, the WHCS statistics will fill an evidence gap; they will be used to monitor the changing condition of the housing stock in Wales, to measure work being undertaken to the stock and to evaluate the impact of Welsh Government policies.

The Welsh Government conducted extensive user engagement during the development of the survey and production of the statistics; the statistical team actively sought input from policy officials and external stakeholders throughout. The Welsh Government has taken on board users’ views in the design of the survey and the dissemination of the statistics, including those gathered via an online user survey. The users we spoke to were positive about the way Welsh Government statisticians engaged with them.

We were not able to review the Headline report in full or the data tables as these were still in development at the time of the assessment. However, we reviewed an early draft of the Headline report. In general, the statistical commentary is presented clearly, and, where possible, the Headline report makes comparisons between the Welsh housing stock and housing conditions and those of other UK countries, and over time within Wales, which enhances the value of the statistics. To better support users’ interpretation of the statistics, key messages should be drawn out, either through an executive summary in the Headline report or modifying the report so it is shorter.

The Welsh Government collaborates effectively with UK and international housing statisticians. It has established links with housing statisticians in the Republic of Ireland; it is providing support and advice on building a business case for an Irish housing conditions survey. It meets regularly (every 2-3 months) with the housing condition leads in England, Scotland, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland to keep abreast of housing condition survey developments and outputs, and to discuss methodological improvements.

The survey methodology is well-established and sound; it is similar to that of other UK housing conditions surveys and previous housing conditions surveys in Wales and therefore provides data that are comparable across the UK and consistent over time. The Welsh Government follows national and international good practice by adopting recommended and recognised systems and frameworks for modelling measures of housing condition, which ensures that the measures are harmonised.

The WHCS is a survey of just over 2,500 properties, with the sample drawn from the National Survey for Wales. The main limitation of the survey is its relatively small sample size; it only allows analysis at the national level. This limitation was highlighted to users during the survey topic development phase.

The Welsh Government is transparent about the methods used and the quality of the statistics. The Technical report contains detailed information about the sample design, data validation, data processing and data modelling. The Quality report is comprehensive, covering all aspects of the quality of the data and statistics. It clearly explains the main strengths and limitations of the WHCS and provides an overview of the data quality assurance arrangements used by the surveyors, Building Research Establishment (BRE; the survey contractors) and the Welsh Government. To increase users’ confidence in the methods and the robustness of the estimates, the Welsh Government should publish the pilot survey summary report and a summary of the steps it took to minimise surveyor variability and bias.

The Welsh Government established a close working relationship with BRE, and BRE maintained a constructive relationship with ONS, which provided the WHCS sample. The data collection and processing requirements were clearly defined from the outset and the Welsh Government and BRE told us this approach worked well.

The Welsh Government adopted a transparent approach to user engagement. Stakeholders receive regular updates about the progress of the WHCS, the online user survey about the statistical outputs was publicised widely, and the Welsh Government published a publication plan. The statistical team followed the Welsh Government’s Statistical Quality Management Strategy; adopting a transparent and consistent approach to quality gives users confidence in the quality of its statistical services and products.

Resource constraints negatively impacted the Welsh Government’s ability to publish timely summary reports and affected its plans for gathering external feedback on the Headline report. To provide assurance that future plans for housing conditions statistics and data will not be impacted by resource constraints, the Welsh Government needs to review and update its resourcing contingency plans.

The Welsh Government has a strong data governance process in place for the WHCS. The statistical team followed the Welsh Government’s Statement on Confidentiality and Data Access, which gives users confidence that the data are kept secure and that the team respects individuals’ rights to privacy. For the first time in Wales, data were recorded using digital pens, which ensures that personal information is kept safe and secure.


Related Links:

Confirmation as National Statistics (December 2018)

Ed Humpherson to Glyn Jones (October 2018)

Welsh Publication Time Exemption

Letter from Ed Humpherson to Glyn Jones.

T3.6 in the Code Practice for Statistics states that statistics should be released to all users at 9.30am on a weekday. The Office for Statistics Regulation confirms that in the circumstances outlined in the letter, Welsh Government can release some of its publications at 12:30 in order to improve the user experience.

Ystadegau ar y Defnydd o’r Gymraeg yng Nghymru, 2013-15 / Statistics on Welsh Language Use in Wales, 2013-15

Mae’r ddogfen hon yn un o gyfres o adroddiadau a luniwyd o dan ddarpariaethau Deddf Gwasanaeth Ystadegau a Chofrestru 2007. Mae’r Ddeddf hon yn caniatáu i awdurdod priodol ofyn am asesiad o ystadegau swyddogol yn erbyn y Cod Ymarfer ar gyfer Ystadegau Swyddogol er mwyn iddynt gael statws Ystadegau Gwladol. Lluniwyd yr adroddiad hwn mewn ymateb i gais o’r fath. Mae’r adroddiad hwn yn ymdrin ag ystadegau ar y defnydd o’r Gymraeg, a nodir yn y ddogfen, Y Defnydd o’r Gymraeg yng Nghymru, 2013-15 (DoG 2013-15), a luniwyd ar y cyd gan Lywodraeth Cymru a Chomisiynydd y Gymraeg.

This is one of a series of reports prepared under the provisions of the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007. The Act allows an appropriate authority to request an assessment of official statistics against the Code of Practice for Official Statistics in order for them to gain National Statistics status. This report is in response to such a request. The report covers statistics on Welsh language use, reported in Welsh Language Use in Wales, 2013-15 (WLUW 2013-15), produced jointly by the Welsh Government and the Welsh Language Commissioner.

 

 

 

Population estimates and projections for Wales (Welsh Government)

This is one of a series of reports prepared under the provisions of the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007. The Act gives the Statistics Authority power to re-assess whether the Code of Practice for Official Statistics continues to be complied with in relation to official statistics already designated as National Statistics. The report covers the following population estimates and projections (population) statistics produced by the Welsh Government for Wales and reported in:

• Mid-year Estimates of the Population (Mid-year Estimates)

• Principal and Variant Local Authority Population Projections for Wales (Local Authority Projections)

• Population Projections for National Parks (National Park Projections)

This report forms part of a broader assessment of sets of population statistics across the UK that are produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS); the Welsh Government; National Records of Scotland (NRS) and the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA). Assessment reports 309, 311 and 312 examine the population statistics produced by ONS, NRS and NISRA respectively.

The previous assessment of these sets of statistics was included in Assessment report 101 . They are among the UK’s most prominent National Statistics and are being re-assessed because they are an important input to national and local planning activity and to a large number of economic and social statistics.

This report was prepared by the Authority’s Assessment team, and approved by the Regulation Committee on behalf of the Board of the Statistics Authority, based on the advice of the Director General for Regulation.


Letter to Glyn Jones regarding population estimates

Monitoring Review – Population estimates and projections a comparison across the UK

Letter of confirmation as National Statistics

Statistics on Looked After Children

This is one of a series of reports prepared under the provisions of the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007. The Act gives the Statistics Authority power to re-assess whether the Code of Practice for Official Statistics continues to be complied with in relation to official statistics already designated as National Statistics. The report covers the sets of statistics produced by the Department for Education (DfE), the Welsh Government, the Scottish Government, and the Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety, Northern Ireland (DHSSPS) (collectively referred to as the producer bodies in this report) and reported in the following publications:

DfE:

• Children looked after in England (including adoption and care leavers)

• Outcomes for Children Looked After by Local Authorities in England

The Welsh Government:

• Adoptions, Outcomes and Placements for Children Looked After by Local Authorities, Wales

• Social Services Statistics Wales (parts relating to LAC)

• Referrals, Assessments and Social Services for Children, Wales (parts relating to health checks for LAC, and reviews carried out within statutory timetables)

The Scottish Government:

• Children’s Social Work Statistics Scotland (parts relating to LAC)

DHSSPS:

• Children in Care in Northern Ireland

• Children Adopted from Care in Northern Ireland

• Children’s Social Care Statistics for Northern Ireland (parts relating to looked after children (LAC))

• Northern Ireland Care Leavers Aged 16-18

• Northern Ireland Care Leavers Aged 19

The previous assessments of these sets of statistics were reported in Assessment reports 13, 14, 15, 16, 188, 219 and 223. In some cases the ways in which the statistics are now packaged for publication and the names of the individual products have changed.

This re-assessment is the first in what may become a series of topic-based assessments, each covering a variety of producer bodies. It has been designed to focus on issues that are inherent to this particular topic and which arose in the earlier assessments. It does not therefore cover every element in the Code. The issues are:

• the quality of the data used to compile the statistics

• the collection and use of child-level (as opposed to aggregate) information

• comparability across the UK

• coverage of the topic area and packaging into statistical products

The specific elements of the Code that are relevant to these issues are Principles 4.2, 4.3, 4.5, 4.6, 5.1, 5.4, 6.1, 7.5, 8.1, 8.2, 8.3, 8.4, 8.6 and Protocol 3.3.

The following Official Statistics are included within this report in order to gain a better overview of the topic area. Because the assessment does not cover all of the practices within the Code, they are not being assessed here with a view to designation as National Statistics:

The Welsh Government:

• Wales Children in Need Census (parts relating to LAC) (Welsh Government)

• Fostering and Adoption Intermediary Services, Wales (the part relating to foster settings for LAC) (Welsh Government)

The Scottish Government:

• Education outcomes for Scotland’s looked after children

This report was prepared by the Authority’s Assessment team, and approved by the Assessment Committee on behalf of the Board of the Statistics Authority, based on the advice of the Head of Assessment.

Statistics on Looked After Children: Letter of Confirmation as National Statistics – DfE

Statistics on Looked After Children: Letter of Confirmation as National Statistics – NISRA

Statistics on Looked After Children: Letter of Confirmation as National Statistics – SG

Statistics on Looked After Children: Letter of Confirmation as National Statistics – WG